Tag Archives: aintree

horse racing

National experience

The Aintree going is a big factor again today. The ground on the Mildmay and Hurdle course is Soft whilst it is Heavy on the National course. However, the area has had a dry night and the forecast is for a warm breezy day with temperatures up to 15 Celsius by this afternoon. It is likely to be drying ground which can make the surface unresponsive.

One race to look at this afternoon plus the Grand National.

4.20 3m½f Ryanair Stayers Hurdle (Registered As The Liverpool Hurdle) (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+)

 Sam Spinner and Wholestone have little between them on Cheltenham form.

Sam Spinner will be ridden positively and may still progress.

Wholestone looks sure to go well, but doesn’t always find a great deal at the finish.

If L’Ami Serge runs, he has a live chance of following up Thursday’s success.

I have the front of the market as follows:

Sam Spinner  9/4

Wholestone  4/1

L’Ami Serge   4/1

Sam Spinner

Grand National

I will be getting a course report from Aintree at lunchtime before briefing members at 1.00 p.m. By then we should have a better idea how the ground will ride. At present my thoughts on the Grand National are for Gordon Elliott’s Ucello Conti. Has course experience with conditions suitable. Daryl Jacob again takes the ride over the national fences.

 

Ucello Conti

 Summer campaign

We are now in the final weeks of the main seven month 2017/18 jumps campaign which has yielded a rewarding 35% profit on stakes invested.

You can join now for the summer season and get the rest of this month included free plus a good discount from the standard terms. For more details go to: www.slh.co.uk

horse racing

We’re on a highway to Kelso

The ITV cameras head to a picturesque Kelso for four races this afternoon. We are looking at the first of their live races. The going is heavy and some light rain is expected during the later races. Temperatures are a mild 11 to 12 degrees Celsius.

Kelso

 

Next week sees the start of the Aintree Festival meeting. More news after we look at the 1.50.

 

1.50 2m7½f Sue And Harvey Smith Chase (A Novices’ Limited Handicap) (Class 3) (5yo+ 0-135)

 A very tight four runner handicap in which the morning layers marginally make Teddy Tee the favourite.

ACDC has Liam Quinlan, the amateur jockey on board who rode him to victory three starts ago at this course. Fairly handicapped with suitable conditions, although the 8 y.o. has never been a straightforward ride.

Teddy Tee continues to run well, but is vulnerable at the finish.

Hills Of Dubai and Just Georgie tie in closely, but Hills Of Dubai isn’t proven at this trip.

I have Just Georgie as my marginal favourite in a race sponsored by his trainer.

Just Georgie  5/2

Teddy Tee      3/1

Hills Of Dubai  3/1

ACDC             7/2

 

ACDC

 

Aintree Special

Last weekend we had two bets only, both winners.

Our biggest bet of the week was on Saturday. Our bet soundly beat the odds-on favourite.
On Sunday we again defied popular opinion with a 9/4 winner who drew well clear of the 2/5 favourite.
This rounded off a profitable week and another profitable month.

The bad weather has meant there has been just the one meeting so far this week. Yesterday at Fontwell we had one bet which provided us with a very rewarding 13/2 winner. Plus I analysed three other races for members own betting purposes, this supplied three further winners.

Our Aintree special membership starts today. You get all my bets and analysis from just £20 for membership through to Sunday 15th April.

For more details and other membership options go to: http://www.slh.co.uk/aintree-special/

 

horse racing

Aintree special

We go to Carlisle today for a competitive novices’ chase. The going at the Cumbria track is Good to Soft. The forecast is for rain all morning and then a dry afternoon.

After looking at the 2.15 there is also news on a special membership centred around the Aintree Grand National meeting.

2.15 2m4f totepool Cashback Club At totesport.com Novices’ Chase (Class 3) (5yo+)

Secrete Stream and Ballycrystal set the standard, although both have something to prove.

Secrete Stream was very disappointing on latest start and is fitted with first time blinkers.

The better ground conditions will suit.

Ballycrystal returned from a break to run in a jumpers bumper at Newcastle four weeks ago. That run would have would teed him up for today.

Elusive Theatre ran well on her latest start and should figure. However she would need to improve to beat the above pair if either give there running.

I price the race as follows:

Ballycrystal         5/2

Secrete Stream  11/4

Elusive Theatre  4/1

Alzamaar            8/1

Bollin Ace           9/1

33/1 bar

Ballycrystal

 

The Grand National is now just two weeks away and we have a special membership covering the entire Aintree week. Membership runs from next Saturday through to Sunday 15th and is just £20. For more details go to: http://www.slh.co.uk/aintree-special/

horse racing

Harri up

Final day of the 2017 flat season plus the jumps campaign continues to develop with interesting cards from Aintree, Wincanton and Kelso.

We are going to look at three races from Wincanton. The going is Soft.

1.15 2m4f Banz Carewear For Kids Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Chase (Class 4) (4yo+ 0-120)

Most of these are exposed, the exception being the joint top weght Achille.

Hasn’t been seen on the track since finishing a close up fifth in a competitive race at Ascot.

That was his only start since moving to his present stable from France.

Potentially well handicapped, with conditions to suit.

Venetia Williams’ runners are going well.

Difficult to price, but I’ve provisionally put the 7yo grey in at 3/1. Currently a best priced 5/1.

Wincanton racecourse

1.50 2m5½f Z Hotels Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+)

Wide open race in which The Organist is worth close inspection.

Much better than latest run suggests, as she was badly hampered approaching the last hurdle and was eased.

The Organist

3.35 3m1f Badger Ales Trophy Handicap Chase (Listed Race) (Class 1) (4yo+ 0-155)

Henllan Harri is expected to go well.

The softer ground will suit and the jockeys claim is a big positive. Odds of 10/1+ look fair.

Henllan Harri

 

Highlight of this week so far has been the 10/1 winner from our only bet yesterday.   Membership terms have been updated, see all the latest options and get your free information pack at: www.slh.co.uk

 

 

 

 

horse racing

Top class weekend

Tremendous day of racing ahead with four turf meetings in Britain from Cheltenham and Kelso over the jumps and two top class flat cards at Doncaster and Newbury. Plus there is a  decent fixture in Ireland from Leopardstown. There will be plenty to take from today and from the Aintree and Wincanton cards tomorrow.

Looking at two races from Cheltenham this afternoon. The going is on the soft side of Good.

3.10 2m  (Old) Randox Health Handicap Chase (Class 2) (4yo+)

Both Some Plan and Le Prezien have course form that makes them fairly handicapped.

With many here making seasonal reappearances it is a difficult race to price.

Both horses mentioned are worth consideration.

Some Plan

4.20 2m4f  (Old) Royal Gloucestershire Hussars Novices’ Chase (Class 2) (4yo+)

The grey Alcala held every chance when slipping up on the bend to the home straight on latest start.

Two Taffs put up his best performance at Ayr on latest start.

Fitness is not an issue returning from a break.

9/4 joint favs my provisional tissue.

Alcala

 

Don’t miss this…

I have a special starter membership starting today through to Boxing Day. It is available this weekend only and well worth considering. You can get all the details and take immediate membership by going to: www.slh.co.uk

Five winners from six bets so far this week which included a solid 3/1 winner at Exeter plus another strong and successful lay of a short priced favourite. The sixth consecutive successful lay, prices ranging from 2.6 to 2.1.

Members following my selective extra race analysis were pinpointed 12/1 winner Master Dancer at Cheltenham yesterday.

Take your first steps towards genuinely professional betting today.

 

horse racing

Royal Ascot special

My main concentration today is on the evening card at Aintree and my continued preparations for Royal Ascot. The afternoon flat cards are not appealing and there is one race at Newton Abbot to look at.

3.55 Newton Abbot

Bagad Bihoue will find it difficult to give 10lbs to Kayf Blanco, if that one puts in an adequate round of jumping. I have them in at evens the pair, which is quite a bit different to the early layers.

Kayf Blanco

You can take up the Royal Ascot special membership from today. Ten days for £25 and access to all my work. Further details and immediate subscription via: http://www.slh.co.uk/royal-ascot-2017-special-membership/

 

Royal Ascot

 

Seven meetings and fifty-one races in Britain tomorrow. Come back in the morning for my early analysis of selected races.

horse racing

Tomyris noted

Ground conditions are making for limited opportunities on the flat. What should have been an informative York meeting has been negated by the soft going. There were 20 non-runners there yesterday, most down to unsuitable ground.

I am going to briefly look at two races this afternoon at York and continue working on the more appealing Aintree card this evening.

 York 2.55

Tomyris was noted after impressing on reappearance. Ground is an unknown factor which makes pricing difficult. Currently a best priced 6/1 with a few of the books.

 

 

Tomyris

York 4.05

Fidaawy is a non-runner leaving eight at present.

Southdown Lad is potentially on a good handicap mark and will be suited by conditions. He is expected to go well. 11/2+ looks fair.

 

Southdown LadBack tomorrow for the six meetings on offer, including the Newbury Lockinge card.

horse racing

33 Musketeers?

It’s going to be a warm day at Aintree with the temperature predicted to reach around 20 degrees Celsius (68F). The going remains Good and the course has been lightly watered overnight.

Two races analysed:

2.25 Aintree 2m4f Betway Mersey Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+)

As with the Melling Chase yesterday, I price this somewhat differently to the early books.

Messire Des Obeaux sets the form standard off his third place effort in the opening race at  the Cheltenham Festival. Conditions are suitable.

Brio Conti continues to progress. Comes here after successive victories at Kempton and Doncaster.

Unbeaten in all four career starts the morning favourite is Finian’s Oscar. His most solid piece of form is his win at Hereford three starts ago last December.

My tissue:

Messire Des Obeaux  4/1

Brio Conti  9/2

Finians’s  Oscar 9/2

10/1 bar

Messire Des Obeaux
Messire Des Obeaux on his way to landing the Betfred Challow Novices’ Hurdle at Newbury

4.20 Aintree 3m½f (3m149y) Ryanair Stayers Liverpool Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+)

 

A difficult race to evaluate with queries about all twelve contenders.

Yanworth was disappointing in the Champion Hurdle and has to prove he stays.

Cole Harden will have conditions to suit, but the cheek-pieces and tongue tie are replaced with a visor.

Supasundae stayed on well to win the Coral Cup at Cheltenham and steps up to 3 miles for the first time.

It wouldn’t surprise me to see a bigger priced winner. Three Musketeers can go well at big odds. Currently 33/1 generally.

4/1 the field my provisional tissue.

Three Musketeers

Good day for us yesterday with a strong bet on 4/1 winner Fox Norton. We have special summer memberships now available that include the rest of this month free. See: http://www.slh.co.uk/summer-special/

horse racing

Fox to sink Sub?

Two races for us today at Aintree. The going is Good and a dry day with light cloud is forecast.

As with all the big meetings it is worth searching through the special offers. For example some are going quarter odds on the Melling Chase if you fancy one of the longer odds runners.

3.25 Aintree 2m4f (2m3f200y) (Mildmay) JLT Melling Chase (Grade 1) (Class 1) (5yo+)

Sub Lieutenant stayed on well in the Ryanair, however I do have doubts concerning that form.

A few of these finished behind Fox Norton in the Queen Mother and although he has to prove he stays, I do expect Fox Norton to confirm that form.

My provisional tissue:

Fox Norton         7/2

God’s Own          5/1

Sub Lieutenant   5/1

10/1 bar

Fox Norton

4.40 Aintree 3m½f (3m149y) Doom Bar Sefton Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+)

A back to form West Approach would set the standard.

He weakened quickly from two out in the Stayers Hurdle after travelling well. A tongue tie is fitted today.

The Worlds End held every chance when taking a heavy fall two out in the Albert Bartlett.

Constantine Bay was hampered by that fall and can improve.

I price the front of market as follows:

The World End    3/1

West Approach   11/2

Constantine Bay  8/1

10/1 bar

West Approach

Back tomorrow morning for National day.

horse racing

A saint and a lord…

Today we have the first day of the flat and two relatively modest jump cards as we approach the Aintree meeting next week. We are going to quickly look at two races from Uttoxeter. The going is Good to Soft, sunny spells and showers are forecast.

Our Aintree special membership starts today. Immediate membership at: http://www.slh.co.uk/aintree-special-membership/  – there are more details below.

3.05 Uttoxeter

2m 4f handicap hurdle and with a few exceptions most of the thirteen runners have been on the go all season.

Saint Cajetan is fairly handicapped in an open race. Drying ground is in his favour, with his 2nd at Wetherby back in October looking a solid piece of form. Brian Hughes is booked, which can only be a plus.

Silverhow and Land League are unexposed and may improve.

Difficult to price, but I have provisionally put Saint Cajetan in as my 5/1 favourite, 9/1 best with plenty of the books this morning.

Saint Cajetan

4.50 Uttoxeter

Lord Bryan expected to figure after putting up an improved performance on latest start.

4/1 my provisional tissue, which is roughly the current price on offer.

Lord Bryan

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– All my bets and extra race analysis to Sunday 9th April

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