Tag Archives: wetherby

Fine time

Ideal jumping ground at all three of our meetings today from Cheltenham, Uttoxeter and Wetherby plus I will be keeping a watch on Punchestown where the ground will be a little more testing.

Day 2 of the Open meeting from Cheltenham and two races for us to look at this morning.

1.50 3m3½f  (Old) BetVictor.com Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (Class 1) (4yo+)

A difficult race to evaluate with many of these having later season targets. The Grand National being the main aim for most.

Doing Fine is the only horse coming into the race of the back of a good recent performance.

Although exposed he is expected to figure. A general 5/1 at present and a couple of firms are going a quarter odds the first three.

 

Doing Fine

 

2.25 2m4½f (Old) BetVictor Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (Class 1) (4yo+)

 Eighteen declared with over £90,000 going to the winner.

Kylemore Lough and Ballyalton are the two of most interest.

Kylemore Lough is well handicapped, has conditions that suit and has been aimed at this race on his first start for Harry Fry.

Ballyalton also figures on a good handicap mark. He had a prep race over hurdles at Aintree just under three weeks ago and looks sure to go well.

Kylemore Lough is my provisional 6/1 favourite followed by Ballyalton at 8/1.

Best early prices for the pair are 13/2 and 11/1 respectively.

Kylemore Lough

As always I will be getting reports direct from the courses throughout the morning before finalising betting plans and briefing my select group of members at noon today. Membership terms have been updated, see all the latest options and get your free information pack at: www.slh.co.uk

 

 

 

 

Learning day

Good afternoon of racing ahead including three jumps meetings from Wetherby, Ayr and the first card of the season from Ascot. Going to look at three races from Wetherby where the going is Soft with light rain forecast.

1.30 1m7f  Happy 50th Birthday Jayne Forth Novices’ Chase (Class 3) (4yo+)

Born Survivor has point to point experience and shouldn’t lack for fitness on chasing debut. Evens my provisional tissue.

Born Survivor

 

2.05 2m olbg.com Mares’ Hurdle (Listed Race) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Soft ground is a concern for favourite La Bague Au Roi.

Lady Buttons worth a look in a race which is very difficult to price. Currently a best priced 8/1.

 

Lady Buttons

 

3.15 3m bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) (Class 1) (5yo+)

A repeat of Coneygree’s last run in the Punchestown Gold Cup would make him very difficult to beat.

Cue Card is the obvious danger.

Bristol De Mai worth a close look. I’m hoping he can get back to his best after disappointing on his last three starts.

Impossible race to price with confidence.

Coneygree

 

It is another learning day with so many making their seasonal debuts. The form will start to settle soon, making races easier to price more accurately. For the latest membership terms and your free information pack, go to: www.slh.co.uk

Tightly knit

Seven races this afternoon at Wetherby, the first five are all Class 4 events and the final two are classed at 6 and 5 respectively. A marginally better overall standard than the other turf meeting at Fontwell.

The going is Good to Soft at Wetherby where we look at two races containing quite a few handicap chasers who will be familiar to many.

2.50 Wetherby

Negatives concerning all five runners in this tightly knit race, where nothing can be ruled out.

I provisionally price them as follows:

Gin Cobbler 11/4

Roxyfet  11/4

Ever So Much 5/1

Chestnut Ben 5/1

Akula 11/2

 

Roxyfet

3.50 Wetherby

Swing Hard comes into this race in form after a gutsy victory at this track ten days ago. Expect a positive ride.

Attimo is weighted to reverse earlier form with Swing Hard, but broke blood vessels on latest start.

Volt Face latest Towcester form is suspect.

Treat Yourself is well handicapped, but found little for pressure on latest start.

My tissue:

Swing Hard  5/2

Treat Yourself 3/1

Attimo 7/2

Volt Face  7/1

14/1 bar

 

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Not for me at 6/4

Another informative day of racing ahead. Ascot hold their first jumps fixture of the season and there are a few ‘big guns’ making seasonal debuts. The ground there is Good to Firm in places. Such conditions are keeping a fair number of summer horses in action than may have been originally planned and not helping trainers who want to get a run into their winter stock on softer ground.

I am going to again concentrate on Wetherby today.

Wetherby 2.10  olbg.com Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race)

A very tight contest  and there is little to choose between 5 of the 6 remaining contestants after Degenerous was declared a non-runner.

Pass The Time has been chasing and may find conditions on the sharp side.

Stephanie Francis has also been over fences and her jockey is unable to claim her allowance in this higher grade of race.

On my tissue:

Card Game, Midnight Jazz, Miss Crick, Stephanie Francis 7/2 co favs

Pass The Time 7/1

Stephanie Frances (far side)
Stephanie Frances (far side)

 

Wetherby 2.45 bet365 Hurdle (Registered As The West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2

Again a very tight betting race. The current 6/4 market favourite is Ballyoptic who comes here in search of his fifth consecutive victory. He has the advantage of a recent run but makes little appeal at current odds.

If In Doubt, Native River and Silsol have all achieved a similar level of form and for me represent better value than that currently on offer.

I go:

Ballyoptic       3/1

If In Doubt     4/1

Native River  5/1

Silsol               6/1

The Romford Pele 6/1

14/1 bar

Silsol
Silsol

Whilst there will be plenty of attention paid to the likes of Saphir du Rheu and Cue Card this afternoon, it has got to be remembered that the ultimate target for the top class horses is the major festivals during March and April. Short term hype can often get in the way of a considered long term approach.

Look & learn

Concentrating on the informative card at Wetherby this afternoon which contains two  listed races. Much of a watching brief today as we look at future potential.

The going at the Yorkshire track is good and a mild dry day is forecast.

2.10 Wetherby

Clondaw Cracker was an expensive purchase from Ireland going to the in-form Mulholland yard.

She impressed when winning her bumper at Warwick in April. Will be at short odds to win on hurdles debut.

Clondaw Cracker at the Cheltenham sales
Clondaw Cracker at the Cheltenham sales

3.55 Wetherby

This looks to be the best juvenile hurdle of the season so far.

Cliffs Of Dover sets a high standard and has the benefit of jumps experience. Won smartly at Cheltenham last Friday. I go 6/4 on my provisional tissue. The three unraced horses follow in the current betting.

Sam Twiston-Davies with Cliffs of Dover
Sam Twiston-Davies with Cliffs of Dover

 

Just the two bets for us so far this week providing a 4/1 loser and an 11/4 winner which have added to the overall profits for the year. For latest membership terms and to: http://www.slh.co.uk/201617-jumps-campaign/ and for a free copy of my early season noted horses shortlist apply via: http://www.slh.co.uk/free-information-pack/

Also my All Weather contacts have continued their great form with 7/1 and 9/2 winners from the last three bets.

Back tomorrow for the first jump card of the season at Ascot.

Arkle turnaround?

Kempton and Wetherby for us this afternoon. The going is reported as Soft and Heavy respectively, with a dry day at both courses.

Two races this afternoon to quickly look at.

We start with the Wetherby 2.25. A trappy race in which only the short-priced favourite Bawden Rocks, has any recent winning form. The one that looks overpriced is Formidableopponent, who could stay on in these testing conditions. Currently 8/1 best.

Josses Hill has a point to prove today
Josses Hill has a point to prove today

The Kempton 3.15 is an intriguing four runner affair. I price them as follows:

Josses Hill 6/4

Gods Own 13/8

Aso 5/1

Kings Lad 16/1

In last year’s Arkle Gods Own and Josses Hill finished second and third respectively. Josses Hill has a weight pull today. For me, it totally depends on which one is ‘right’ today. They both have a bit to prove.

Back tomorrow with the Satuday analysis. The feature meeting is from Newbury. But we have a forecast of heavy and prolonged rain prior to racing, which will be a significant factor.

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